Spain's center-right Partido Popular and Vox would win a combined 52.2% of the vote if general elections were held today, according to an NC Report survey published by newspaper La Razón on August 10, 2026.
The survey indicates that opposition parties would secure between 206 and 210 deputies in parliament. The result would give center-right parties a clear majority to demand political regeneration and full democracy.
Partido Popular (PP) would win the election with 34.2% of the vote, securing between 145 and 147 parliamentary seats under the leadership of Alberto Núñez Feijóo. That outcome represents an increase of eight to 10 seats compared with the party's results in 2023.
Vox would achieve 18% of the vote and between 61 and 63 seats in parliament. The total would nearly double the party's current number of seats.
The editorial stated that the projected 206 to 210 seats symbolize the determination of the sovereign people demanding justice, equality, freedom, and rights, while defending constitutional Spain against current rulers.
Governing coalition poll projections
Left-wing parties face a steep decline under the poll projections. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), led by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, along with coalition partner Sumar and left-wing party Podemos, would combine for barely 34.6% of the vote.
The survey shows PSOE severely damaged by voter discontent, while Sumar and Podemos would be reduced to minor residual forces. The combined left-wing total leaves the governing bloc far behind the center-right opposition.
The editorial accompanying the survey noted that Sánchez faces an adverse social and political climate. It stated that voting trends point toward a political end for the current left-wing administration.
Government narrative and opposition response
The Spanish government has spent recent months promoting a narrative of economic success, presenting Spain as a rocket engine for Europe. Cabinet ministers, including Félix Bolaños, have actively claimed that Spain is doing better than ever.
Supporters of the administration claim their team represents a historic reference point in Spanish democracy, the European Union, and worldwide. However, the editorial criticized those claims as self-praise disconnected from daily life.
The publication noted that only the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), led by activist Tezanos, continues to support the government's narrative. It added that election results would deliver an explicit condemnation of the administration's political record.
The editorial cautioned that opposition victory is not guaranteed because the administration will not accept its end easily. It warned opposition parties to prepare for an intense contest as accountability approaches outside of power.
