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German conservative bloc falls to five-year polling low

Germany's conservative CDU/CSU alliance has fallen to 20 percent in a new INSA poll, marking its lowest national support level since October 2021.

German conservative bloc falls to five-year polling low

Germany's conservative CDU/CSU bloc has dropped to 20 percent in a nationwide poll, its lowest approval rating since October 2021, according to an INSA survey.

Berlin (Germany), 03/08/2026.- Campaign posters of Alternative for Germany (AfD) party and Christian Democratic Union (CDU) hang on lamp poles in Berlin, Germany, 03 August 2026. Regional state elections for the Berlin House of Representatives are scheduled for 20 September 2026. (Elecciones, Aleman
First campaign posters for the upcoming state election in Berlin. Photo: Clemens Bilan / EFE Agency

The weekly poll, conducted for the Sunday newspaper Bild am Sonntag, showed the conservative opposition alliance falling by one percentage point from the previous week. Meanwhile, the right-wing Alternative for Germany party maintained a firm lead as the country's most popular political force, polling at 28 percent.

The Greens remained stable at 13 percent, while the Social Democrats and Die Linke both stood at 12 percent. The Free Democratic Party registered 5 percent, matching its result from the previous week and reaching the threshold required to enter parliament if elections took place this Sunday. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance received 3 percent, failing to reach the parliamentary threshold.

National poll numbers and survey methodology

INSA surveyed 1,203 people across Germany between August 10 and August 14. The polling institute placed the margin of error for the survey at plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The survey results represent the lowest standing recorded by INSA for the conservative bloc since October 2021. The alliance is made up of the Christian Democratic Union of Germany and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union, which together form the main centre-right opposition force in federal politics.

Under Germany's electoral system, political parties must win at least five percent of the vote to gain representation in parliament, a rule intended to maintain legislative stability.

Upcoming state elections in September

The survey comes just weeks before voters head to the polls in three regional contests scheduled for September. Saxony-Anhalt will open the election cycle on September 6, followed by state elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and the capital city-state of Berlin on September 20.

Alternative for Germany is expected to secure record results across all three state contests. In Saxony-Anhalt, the party could achieve an unprecedented absolute majority, which would allow it to join a state government for the first time.

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