According to the final model of the YouGov election poll on the 2020 U.S. elections, the Democratic candidate Joe Biden is ready for a landslide victory frente al actual presidente Donald Trump.
The details suggest a turning point for states like Pennsylvania, where Democrats likely have a 46% chance of success versus a 53% chance in favor of a Republican victory. In addition, the race for the White House is also getting tough in North Carolina and Georgia, while South Carolina and Indiana support hopes of a blue wave, a situation in which the Democratic Party rules in both houses of the United States. .
Aside from state data, general forecasts highlight a 382 voter vote win for Joe Biden, compared to the 270 needed for a majority.
Still, the London-based organization said: “Contrary to some claims, this model is quite good and allows us to calibrate our samples to actual votes from the last election.”
Market implications
Despite being the UK confidence survey, the futures of the S&P 500 expect more clues from a blue wave as it takes a breather around 3,360 after two consecutive days of spike in the current week.
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Credits: Forex Street
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