It is not only to return near his home – to Scranton – that Joe Biden ends his campaign in the industrial city of Pittsburgh (in company of Lady Gaga), while his running mate Kamala Harris will hold his last meeting in Philadelphia, the another major city in Pennsylvania. Certainly, for the Democratic candidate, it is a question of bringing to himself the disaster victims of the steel industry who tried the Trump vote in 2016 and many of whom have already expressed their disappointment in the mid-term elections. And for the California senator to mobilize the African-American vote in a city which was the cradle of American democracy and where a new police blunder has just caused riots and curfews.
But the major reason for this forcing of the Democratic ticket, it is the 20 votes of large voters that he could pocket this time thanks to the particular circumstances of the election this year to approach the magic number of 270 which will determine the winner.
Mail-in votes very favorable to Biden
Everything indicates, in fact, that who will win Pennsylvania will not be known the night following the election. And maybe not for several days. The reason is that because of the Covid there are ten times more postal votes this year than in the previous presidential election. It is therefore practically impossible for their result to be known from the evening of the 3rd. Indeed, as an aggravating circumstance, state law prohibits the start of the counting before election day. However, all the polls agree that these “mail-in bundles” are 70% Democrats. So much so that, on the evening of November 3, Donald Trump could come out on top of those who voted on election day, or even take advantage of the early vote, but his lead would not resist the counting of the postal vote.
This configuration, due in large part to the pandemic, puts the outgoing president in such a state of rage that he let himself go Sunday evening to announce: “I will declare myself the winner Tuesday evening simply if it seems to me that I am in the lead ”in the votes counted at the ballot box. So without taking into account the results of postal votes in several states, not the least of which is Pennsylvania. And he added: “There is no question of waiting for a governor politician and partisan (Democrat Tom Wolf) to be authorized to add 10,000 more votes if it suits him!” ”
It does appear that, barring Biden’s tidal wave or, conversely, Trump’s dramatic, similar to 2016 uplift, the US presidential election will end this year at best in court, at worst – from more and more Americans fear it – on the streets.
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