USD/MXN plummets to six-day lows after Banxico’s 50 basis point rise

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He USD/MXN has reacted downwards to the aggressive stance of the Central Bank of Mexico (Banxico). The entity has announced a rise in interest rates of 50 basis points, instead of the expected 25 points, which has caused a drop of 22 cents in the pair towards the 18.73 zone, a new six-day low.

Interest rates have jumped to 11% in the February meeting from the previous 10.5%, also exceeding the forecast of an increase to 10.75%. In its monetary policy statement, Banxico points out that “given the dynamics of underlying inflation, this time it is necessary to repeat the magnitude of the increase in the reference rate of the previous meeting”. “With this action, the monetary policy stance adjusts to the trajectory required for inflation to converge to its target of 3% within the forecast horizon,” the statement added. To conclude, the Governing Board points out that “given the monetary position that has already been reached and based on the evolution of the data, the increase in the reference rate at the next meeting may be of less magnitude“.

Pending USD/MXN traders to digest the news, the pair is trading above 18.75%, losing 0.99% daily.

USD/MXN Levels

The break of the zone of the last two days around 18.80/85 points to a further decline towards $18.64, floor of Friday, February 3. If this level is broken in the next few hours, look for a major support at 18.50 (minimum of the last four years registered on Thursday, February 2). Below that, losses could accelerate towards $17.93, April 2018 low, and $17.44, 2017 low.

Technical levels

USD/MXN

Panorama
Last Price Today 18.7562
Today’s Daily Change -0.1812
Today’s Daily Change % -0.96
Today’s Daily Open 18.9374
Trends
20 Daily SMA 18.8311
SMA of 50 Daily 19.2309
SMA of 100 Daily 19,503
SMA of 200 Daily 19.8198
levels
Previous Daily High 18,984
Minimum Previous Daily 18.8248
Previous Weekly High 18.9885
Previous Weekly Minimum 18.5082
Maximum Prior Monthly 19.5361
Minimum Prior Monthly 18.5663
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 18.9232
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 18.8856
Daily Pivot Point S1 18.8468
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.7562
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.6876
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.0059
Daily Pivot Point R2 19.0745
Daily Pivot Point R3 19.1651
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Source: Fx Street

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