USD/CAD pressured near 1.3900 on oil recovery, Fed policy

  • USD/CAD finds bids near 1.3900 as oil price recovers strongly.
  • The market mood remains one of risk aversion pending the Fed’s policy.
  • In October, fresh US private payrolls were 113,000, missing expectations of 159,000.

The pair USD/CAD faces selling pressure near the resistance of the round 1.3900 level in the early hours of the American session. The pair remains subdued as the strong recovery in oil prices has strengthened the Canadian dollar.

Oil prices rebounded sharply as the Israeli defense forces (IDR) entered Gaza for a full-scale invasion, raising fears of Iranian intervention in the Israel-Palestine conflicts. If Iran intervenes, the oil supply chain will be significantly disrupted. It should be noted that Canada is the main exporter of oil to the United States and the rise in oil prices supports the Canadian dollar.

Market sentiment is bearish as investors await monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME’s Fedwatch tool, the decision to keep interest rates unchanged in the 5.25-5.50% range is safe. However, hawkish guidance is expected due to strong consumer spending and strong labor market conditions.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching the crucial resistance of 107.00 despite weak US private payrolls data for October. The US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported that employers hired 113,000 job seekers, below expectations of 159,000, but significantly higher than the previous reading of 89,000.

Regarding the Canadian dollar, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that the central bank continues to assess whether monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive and is willing to do whatever is necessary to restore price stability.

USD/CAD

Overview
Latest price today 1.3886
Daily change today 0.0011
Today’s daily variation 0.08
Today’s daily opening 1.3875
Trends
daily SMA20 1.3714
daily SMA50 1.3619
SMA100 daily 1.3454
SMA200 daily 1.3485
Levels
Previous daily high 1.3892
Previous daily low 1.3814
Previous weekly high 1.3881
Previous weekly low 1.3661
Previous Monthly High 1.3892
Previous monthly low 1.3562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1.3862
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.3844
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3828
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3782
Daily Pivot Point S3 1,375
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3907
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3939
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3985

Source: Fx Street

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