USA: How much income can tariffs generate? – Standard Chartered

Tariff income will not compensate the tax costs of TCJA extensions. Additional tariff revenues will be below 1% of GDP, most likely between 0.5% and 0.9% of GDP. Unc financed tax cuts could exert greater upward pressure on the fees in the US, Standard Chartered analysts report.

All everywhere in the reconciliation project

“The Trump administration argues that the highest tariffs will finance the tax cuts. Despite the announcement of tariff months.”

“Assuming that tariff negotiations lead to tariff rates of 60% on China, 10% on the rest of the world (Row) and minimal tariff (TCJA), with an estimated cost of 1.4% of GDP as estimated by the joint tax committee (JCT). “

“It is still uncertain if tariff income can be included in the baseline for the reconciliation project. Normally, only legislated tariffs would be considered permanent enough to be a ‘financing’. In addition, arguing that executive orders will increase permanent tariff You will need to find savings in other places.

Source: Fx Street

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