A recent Quinnipiac University poll on voting intentions for the 2024 US presidential election revealed a surprising scenario.
Although US Vice President, Democrat Kamala Harris, leads with 49% of voting intentions against 47% for former Republican President Donald Trump, the study pointed to a notable growth in support for Trump among black and Hispanic voters.
Professor Carlos Gustavo Poggio, in an interview with CNN 360° analyzed the research results, highlighting a phenomenon that has been attracting the attention of experts.
“Even before Kamala Harris’ candidacy, those who follow polls in the United States had already been detecting a very interesting phenomenon: despite everything that was being said about Donald Trump, he was managing to increase his support among black and Hispanic voters,” explained Poggio.
Historic performance among black voters
One of the most surprising data from the survey shows that Trump has 20% support among black voters.
“At first glance, this may seem like a very low number, but if we consider that no Republican presidential candidate in recent decades has come close to 10% among black voters, it is a significant result,” the professor pointed out.
If this number is confirmed at the polls, it will represent the best performance of a Republican candidate among black voters in recent decades, marking an important change in the American political landscape.
Technical tie among Hispanic voters
Another point highlighted in the survey was the technical tie of 48% in voting intentions between Hispanic voters for Trump and Harris.
Poggio points out that this result is part of a trend of growing support for Trump in this demographic group.
The professor points out possible reasons for this phenomenon: “Hispanic voters tend to be often religious, they tend to have more conservative values, so they tend to often identify with the Republicans’ discourse.”
Furthermore, Poggio mentions that issues such as the economy and public safety are more relevant to this electorate than issues related to immigration, as many assume.
This scenario challenges the traditional narrative about minority voting behavior in the United States and could have significant implications for the campaign strategies of both parties in the upcoming presidential election.
This content was originally published in Trump shows growth among blacks and Hispanics, professor tells CNN on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
Bruce Belcher is a seasoned author with over 5 years of experience in world news. He writes for online news websites and provides in-depth analysis on the world stock market. Bruce is known for his insightful perspectives and commitment to keeping the public informed.
