Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Rally Stalls Amid Positive US Data and Bearish Signals Emerge

  • XAG/USD is at risk of a bearish pattern and double top formation as the price pulls back from a 12-month high.
  • A bearish trajectory is anticipated, with crucial support levels at $25.00 and $24.00 amid fading momentum buying.

The price of silver falls back after hitting a new 12-month high of $26.13 in the American session. The improvement in the US labor market on the back of the upbeat US jobs report dashed the XAG’s chances of testing last year’s high. At the time of writing these lines, the pair XAG/USD trades at $25.60, losing 1.69%.

XAG/USD Price Action

At the time of writing, the XAG/USD pair is still on the rise, but on the verge of turning back. If XAG/USD records a daily close below the May 4 daily low of $25.44, this could form two bearish signals: first, a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern that suggests bearish action is warranted. The second is the possible formation of a double top, a major reversal chart pattern, which could push prices towards $24.00.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) added another signal to the mix, forming a negative divergence. This means that as the XAG/USD price action made successive higher highs, the RSI made lower highs as buying momentum faded. Also, the 3-Day Rate of Change (RoC) shows that the buying pressure is easing as the sellers get in on the action.

Therefore, the path of least resistance for XAG/USD is to the downside. The first support would be the $25.00 signal. A break of the latter would expose the April 25 low at $24.49, followed by the 50-day EMA at $24.11, which, once broken, will challenge the $24.00 figure.

XAG/USD Daily Chart

XAG/USD Daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Last price today 25.6
Today Change Daily -0.44
today’s daily variation -1.69
today’s daily opening 26.04
Trends
daily SMA20 25.23
daily SMA50 23.37
daily SMA100 23.3
daily SMA200 21.7
levels
previous daily high 26.06
previous daily low 25.44
Previous Weekly High 25.36
previous weekly low 24.49
Previous Monthly High 26.09
Previous monthly minimum 23.57
Fibonacci daily 38.2 25.83
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 25.68
Daily Pivot Point S1 25.64
Daily Pivot Point S2 25.23
Daily Pivot Point S3 25.01
Daily Pivot Point R1 26.26
Daily Pivot Point R2 26.47
Daily Pivot Point R3 26.88

Source: Fx Street

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