Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Bulls Looking to Strengthen Above 100 Hourly SMA

  • Silver gains ground for the second day in a row and recovers from a multi-month low.
  • The intraday technical setup favors the bulls and supports further earnings prospects.
  • A weakness would trigger a drop below the 23.6% Fibonacci negating the positive bias and exposing $22.00.

Silver is supported by Friday’s modest rebound from the $22.10 area, or its lowest level since March 17, and gets strong follow-through traction on the first day of a new week. The bullish trajectory is maintained during the early stages of the European session and lifts the white metal to a three-day high, around the $22.85 zone in the last hour.

From a technical standpoint, the XAG/USD has broken above the 100 hourly SMA again and is currently sitting around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the decline seen over the past week or so. A sustained strengthening could trigger a new short rally and take the commodity beyond $23.00 to test the 50% Fibonacci level around the $23.15 area.

The rally could extend to the confluence of $23.35 $23.40, which comprises the 200 hourly SMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which should now act as a reversal point. With oscillators on the daily chart holding in negative territory, bulls could wait for buying beyond that barrier before confirming that XAG/USD has bottomed ahead of the $22.00 signal and positioning. for new earnings.

On the other hand, if it breaks back below the 23.6% Fibonacci level around the $22.60 area, it will expose the multi-month low around the $22.10 area. Continuation of selling below $22.00 would be another trigger for bears and would cause XAG/USD to accelerate its decline towards the $21.70-$21.65 support zone. The bearish trajectory could extend further towards the $21.25 support on the way to the $21.00 round figure.

The next relevant support lies near the $20.50 zone, below which XAG/USD could eventually aim to challenge the yearly low, levels just below the key psychological $20.00 level hit in March.

Silver 1 hour chart

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Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Last price today 22.79
daily change today 0.35
today’s daily variation 1.56
today’s daily opening 22.44
Trends
daily SMA20 23.54
daily SMA50 24.19
daily SMA100 23.32
daily SMA200 22.49
levels
previous daily high 22.68
previous daily low 22.11
Previous Weekly High 24.2
previous weekly low 22.11
Previous Monthly High 26.14
Previous monthly minimum 22.68
Fibonacci daily 38.2 22.47
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 22.33
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.14
Daily Pivot Point S2 21.84
Daily Pivot Point S3 21.57
Daily Pivot Point R1 22.71
Daily Pivot Point R2 22.98
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.28

Source: Fx Street

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