TV Record/RealTime Big Data survey on the election for the Federal District government, released this Wednesday (8), points out that the current governor, Ibaneis Rocha (MDB), leads with 28% of voting intentions in the main scenario. This year’s elections are scheduled for October.
Following, appears José Roberto Arruda (PL), with 17%; and Reguffe (União Brasil), with 16%; tied within the margin of error, which is plus or minus three percentage points.
Leila Barros (PDT) has 5%, and Leandro Grass (PV), 4%. Keka Bagno (PSOL) and Rafael Parente (PSB) appear with 1%. Candidate Lucas Salles (DC) did not score in any of the scenarios.
Blanks and nulls correspond to 13%. 15% did not want to or did not know how to respond.
In a second scenario, which replaces Leandro Grass with Rosilene Correia (PT), there are no major changes.
Ibaneis maintains the 28%, Arruda goes to 18%, Reguffe oscillates to 17% and Leila remains with 5%. Rosilene registers 2%, and Keka and Parente have 1%.
In a scenario without Reguffe and with Paula Belmonte (Citizenship), Ibaneis goes to 31%, and Arruda, to 20%. Leila appears with 6%; Leandro Grass, with 4%; Parente and Belmonte, with 2%; and Keka, with 1%.
second round
For the main second-round scenario, the survey projects Ibaneis with 40% of voting intentions, against 31% for Arruda. Whites and nulls reach 18% and those who didn’t know or didn’t want to answer reach 11%.
Against Reguffe, the current governor’s advantage is smaller. Ibaneis appears with 37%, against 27% for the senator. In this scenario, whites and nulls represent 19%, and those who did not know or did not want to respond, 17%.
Senate
In the Senate race, Reguffe (União Brasil) appears with 17%, tied within the margin of error with Damares Alves (Republicans), Érika Kokay (PT), and Flávia Arruda (PL), all with 16%.
Paulo Octavio (PSD) follows, with 7%. Paulo Roque (Novo) has 2% of the voting intentions.
Whites and nulls correspond to 12%, and those who did not know or did not want to respond, to 14%.
In a scenario without Reguffe, Flávia Arruda and Damares have 17% of voting intentions, tied within the margin of error with Érika Kokay, with 16%.
Paulo Octavio appears with 8%; Paula Belmonte (Citizenship), with 3%; and Paulo Roque, with 2%.
Whites and nulls represent 17%, and those who did not want to or did not know how to respond, 20%.
1,500 voters were interviewed by telephone between the 6th and 7th of June. The survey was registered with the Electoral Court under code DF-0040/2022.
According to the institute, the confidence level of the survey is 95%.
Debate
THE CNN will hold the first presidential debate of 2022. The clash between the candidates will be broadcast live on August 6, on TV and on our digital platforms.
Posted by Renan Porto
Source: CNN Brasil
