Possibility of Fed rate expectations adjusting upwards in favor of a firmer Dollar – BBH

According to BBH economists, rising inflation expectations of US consumers may further dampen money market expectations of Fed funds rate cuts this year and turbocharge the rise of the USD.

Will the USD rise turbocharge?

We see room for Fed funds rate expectations to adjust upwards in favor of a firmer dollar because underlying price pressures in the US remain elevated and economic growth prospects are encouraging. .

The risk to our bullish view of the USD is that the Fed dismisses the latest high inflation readings as noise and moves forward with a dovish stance. This would lead to a decline in real interest rates in the US and weaken the USD against most major currencies.

Source: Fx Street

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