NZD/USD looking to build momentum above the 0.6200 level

  • NZD/USD gains ground on Tuesday and hits 1-week highs.
  • A modest USD retracement lends some support to the pair, though the upside looks limited.
  • Traders now await quarterly employment data from New Zealand before the FOMC on Wednesday.

The pair NZD/USD regains positive traction and extends its steady intraday rise through the early part of the European session on Tuesday. The paar has reached a maximum of a week and a half in the last hour, and The bulls are now looking to take advantage of the momentum to break above the 0.6200 level..

The US dollar pulls back and erodes some of the previous day’s positive move near the almost two-week highs hit on Friday, which in turn is seen as a key factor lending some support to the NZD/USD pair. Traders, however, may refrain from entering aggressive bearish positions around the Dollar. amid uncertainty about the Fed’s rate hike trajectory (Fed). This, along with looming recession risks, could cap any significant gains in the risk-sensitive NZD, at least for now.

In fact, markets have fully priced in another 25 basis point hike at the end of the two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday and they expect the US central bank to pause its rate hike cycle beyond May. That being said, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, released on Monday, indicated that inflationary pressures increased last month and raised the possibility of a new rate hike in June. This, in turn, sent US Treasury yields higher and could continue to provide some support for the dollar.

Investors, for their part, continue to concerned about economic hardship from rising borrowing costs. These fears were fueled by the publication on Sunday of weaker Chinese manufacturing data, which keep any optimism in the markets at bay. This could further benefit the dollar as a safe haven and help limit the rise in the NZD/USD pair. Traders may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the outcome of the FOMC’s two-day policy meeting, scheduled for Wednesday.

Ahead of the key central bank event, traders will be guided by the release of US JOLTS jobs data on Tuesday. This, along with US bond yields and broader risk sentiment, will weigh on the USD and provide some lift to the NZD/USD pair ahead of New Zealand’s quarterly employment details on Wednesday.

NZD/USD technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Last price today 0.6203
Today I change daily 0.0037
today’s daily variation 0.60
today’s daily opening 0.6166
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6204
daily SMA50 0.6207
daily SMA100 0.6285
daily SMA200 0.616
levels
previous daily high 0.6201
previous daily low 0.616
Previous Weekly High 0.6189
previous weekly low 0.6111
Previous Monthly High 0.6389
Previous monthly minimum 0.6111
Fibonacci daily 38.2 0.6176
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6185
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.615
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6135
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6109
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6191
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6217
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6232

Source: Fx Street

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