NZD/USD finds some support near 0.5600, looks vulnerable amid bullish USD

  • NZD/USD slides to a multi-day low amid modest NFP-inspired USD strength.
  • The US economy added 263,000 jobs in September and the unemployment rate falls to 3.5%.
  • The data reaffirms the Fed’s interest rate hike bets and favors dollar bulls amid risk aversion.

The pair NZD/USD is under some selling pressure during the early American session and falls to a four-day low after the release of US labor market data. The pair, however, recovers a few points and is currently trading with modest intraday losses, just below 0.5650.

The US dollar hit a new weekly high in reaction to the upbeat US NFP report, which in turn puts some downward pressure on the NZD/USD pair. The closely watched jobs data showed the jobless rate unexpectedly fell to 3.5% in September from 3.7%. In addition, the US economy added more than expected, 263,000 new jobs during the reported month.

The data raised bets for a further 75 basis point Fed interest rate hike in November, evident by the further rise in US Treasury yields. This, coupled with the prevailing risk-aversion mood, is seen as underpinning the safe-haven dollar and driving away flows from the risk-sensitive kiwi. However, the NZD/USD pair finds some support near 0.5600.

The lack of follow through on the selling warrants some caution on the part of bearish traders and before positioning themselves for any further decline. That said, a meaningful recovery still looks elusive amid prospects for more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed. This, coupled with recessionary fears, suggests the path of least resistance for NZD/USD is it is downward.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
last price today 0.5637
daily change today -0.0024
Today’s daily variation in % -0.42
Daily opening today 0.5661
Trends
daily SMA20 0.5837
daily SMA50 0.607
daily SMA100 0.619
daily SMA200 0.6451
levels
Previous daily high 0.5815
Previous Daily Low 0.564
Previous Weekly High 0.5755
Previous Weekly Low 0.5565
Previous Monthly High 0.6162
Previous Monthly Low 0.5565
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2%. 0.5707
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 0.5748
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5596
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.553
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5421
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.5771
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.588
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.5946

Source: Fx Street

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