International Relations professor Leonardo Trevisan, in an interview with CNN analyzed the complex role of the United States in the ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Trevisan highlighted the various factors that influence the American position in this delicate geopolitical scenario.
According to the expert, the US faces a “razor’s edge” due to the strong influence of Israeli opinion within the country.
“They are very powerful in Congress, in the American media, in the American people,” Trevisan said, highlighting the importance of Israel as a strategic ally of the United States.
The professor noted that the interest in a ceasefire ahead of the November 5 US elections is particularly relevant for Vice President and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris.
“Kamala knows perfectly well that she has made very strong statements and has tremendous pressure from the progressive wing to do so,” Trevisan explained, citing as an example the recent resignation of the president of Columbia University due to pressure related to pro-Palestinian demonstrations.
Trevisan also mentioned that both Hamas and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are aware of Kamala’s political need to reach an agreement, which could influence their stances in the negotiations.
Regional complexities and divergent interests
The analyst also addressed the situation of Hezbollah, a Shiite militant group based in Lebanon.
Despite the strong rhetoric against Israel, Trevisan believes the group can be more restrained in its actions, remembering the high cost of reconstruction after the 2006 war in Lebanon.
Regarding Iran, Trevisan noted that the country faces a complex economic situation and is increasingly dependent on Chinese support, both to sell oil and to acquire industrial inputs blocked by American sanctions. This reality, according to the professor, could influence Iran’s stance in the conflict.
This content was originally published in Ceasefire negotiations in the Middle East have an impact on the US, says professor on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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