Lagarde speech: Rates will be cut further if incoming data confirms disinflation is on the way

On Monday, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde will speak at an Annual Economics Conference on ‘Pillars of Resilience Amid Global Geopolitical Shifts’.

Key quotes

We will cut rates further if incoming data confirms that disinflation is on the way.

The past bias of keeping rates ‘sufficiently restrictive’ is no longer justified.

We are close to reaching our goal.

Inflation momentum in services has fallen sharply recently.

Eurozone growth is likely to be hit by new US protectionist measures.

Market reaction

The following comments fail to move the needle around the Euro, with EUR/USD trading flat on the day near 1.0500.

The ECB FAQs


The European Central Bank (ECB), headquartered in Frankfurt (Germany), is the reserve bank of the euro zone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages the region’s monetary policy.
The ECB’s main mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its main tool to achieve this is to raise or lower interest rates. Relatively high interest rates usually translate into a stronger Euro, and vice versa.
The Governing Council of the ECB takes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by the heads of the euro area’s national banks and six permanent members, including ECB President Christine Lagarde.


In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can launch a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets (usually government or corporate bonds) from banks and other financial institutions. The result is usually a weaker Euro.
QE is a last resort when a simple lowering of interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis of 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the coronavirus pandemic.


Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is carried out after QE, when the economic recovery is underway and inflation begins to rise. While in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) buys government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds and stops reinvesting the maturing principal of the bonds that are already possesses. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.

Source: Fx Street

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