Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads the race for the White House against Republican Donald Trump 46% to 43% — a result that is within the margin of error — according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll. The survey indicates that the tight scenario for the presidential election on November 5th will continue.
The four-day poll concluded Monday showed that Trump was the top-rated candidate on a range of economic issues and that some voters could be swayed by his claims that undocumented immigrants are prone to crime, claims that have been widely discredited. by academics and think tanks.
The survey had a margin of error of around 3 percentage points.
Respondents ranked the economy as the top issue facing the country, and about 44% said Trump had the best approach to dealing with the “cost of living,” compared to 38% who chose Harris.
Among a series of economic issues that the next president should address, around 70% of those interviewed said that the cost of living would be the most important, with only small shares choosing the job market, taxes or “improving the financial situation”. .
Trump also had more support than Harris in each of these areas, although voters, by a margin of 42% to 35%, thought Harris was the best candidate for closing inequality among Americans.
Trump appeared driven by widespread concerns about immigration, currently at their highest level in America in more than a century. About 53% of voters in the poll said they agreed with the statement that “immigrants who are undocumented in the country are a danger to public safety,” compared to 41% who disagreed. Voters were more divided on the issue in a May Reuters/Ipsos poll, when 45% agreed and 46% disagreed.
At campaign rallies throughout the year, Trump drew attention to crimes committed by immigrants in the country. Although there is little data on the amount of crime committed by immigrants, studies have generally concluded that they are no more likely to be involved in crime than those born in the United States.
Harris has led Trump in each of the six Reuters/Ipsos polls of the matchup since entering the race in late July. The latest poll showed Harris up two percentage points — 47% to 45% — among voters who appeared most likely to vote in November. About two-thirds of eligible voters turned out in the 2020 presidential election, according to a Pew Research Center estimate.
Voters trusted Harris’ mental acuity above Trump’s in the latest poll, with 55% agreeing with the statement that she was “mentally sharp and able to deal with challenges,” compared to 46% who said the same of Trump.
While national surveys, including Reuters/Ipsos polls, provide important signals about the electorate’s views, state-by-state Electoral College results determine the winner, with seven swing states likely to be decisive. Polls have shown that Harris and Trump are tied in these swing states, with many results within the margins of error.
Harris entered the race after Democratic President Joe Biden ended his re-election effort following a poor debate performance against Trump in June. At the time, Trump was widely seen as the front-runner, in part based on his perceived strength in the economy after several years of high inflation under the Biden administration.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll interviewed 1,272 US voters.
This content was originally published in Kamala Harris has 46% voting intentions; Trump, 43%, shows Ipsos/Reuters on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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