Gold Forecast: XAU/USD falls towards $1,710 as market sentiment deteriorates

  • Gold turns negative as market sentiment deteriorates.
  • XAU/USD slides below $1,720, rejected again from above $1,730.
  • The dollar regains momentum and erases losses.

gold prices failed to hold onto gains on Monday, battered after Gazprom’s announcement that it will curb flows on the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline, sending share prices down. XAUUSD posted a new daily low at $1,714 during the American session.

Early Monday, gold hit a high of $1,736, slightly below last week’s high, and then lost momentum. It failed to hold above $1,730 and then accelerated the decline after the dollar strengthened.

Gazprom’s announcement weighed on stocks and pushed energy prices higher. The dollar erased losses and turned positive. The DXY returned above 106.50.

Market participants await the outcome of the FOMC meeting which starts on Tuesday. “We expect the FOMC to follow up June’s big 75 basis point rate hike with a similar move in July, raising the target range for the fed funds rate to 2.25%-2.50%. “The Committee would take monetary policy back to its long-term neutral estimate. We also expect Chairman Powell to keep the optionality leaving the door open for additional rate hikes of 75 basis points,” an analyst at TD Securities explained.

Gold meets resistance

Last week, gold prices posted their first weekly gains after falling for five in a row. The bounce from the critical support zone of $1,675 (2021 lows) found resistance at $1,740.

From a very short-term perspective, XAU/USD is correcting lower and testing the $1,715 zone. A break down could open the doors to $1,700. If it breaks back above $1,725, another test of $1,740 could take place. The key resistance above is at $1,750.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1718.42
Today’s Daily Change -9.31
Today’s Daily Change % -0.54
Today’s Daily Opening 1727.73
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1752.52
50 Daily SMA 1806.26
100 Daily SMA 1866.52
200 Daily SMA 1843.38
levels
Previous Daily High 1739.37
Previous Daily Minimum 1712.94
Previous Maximum Weekly 1739.37
Previous Weekly Minimum 1680.91
Monthly Prior Maximum 1879.26
Previous Monthly Minimum 1802.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1729.27
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1723.04
Daily Pivot Point S1 1713.99
Daily Pivot Point S2 1700.25
Daily Pivot Point S3 1687.56
Daily Pivot Point R1 1740.42
Daily Pivot Point R2 1753.11
Daily Pivot Point R3 1766.85

Source: Fx Street

You may also like