Eurozone: Preliminary manufacturing PMI improves to 45.9 in October, exceeding the expected 45.1

  • The Eurozone manufacturing PMI advanced to 45.9 in October, beating the forecast of 45.1.
  • The bloc’s services PMI fell to 51.2 in October versus the anticipated 51.6.
  • EUR/USD maintains gains near 1.0800 following German and Eurozone PMI data.

The contraction of the manufacturing sector euro zone softened while service sector activity deteriorated further in October, according to data from HCOB’s latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Survey released Thursday.

The Purchasing Managers Index Eurozone manufacturing PMI rose to 45.9 in October from 45.0 in September, improving the expectation of 45.1. The index rebounded to a five-month high.

The bloc’s services PMI fell to 51.2 in October from 51.4 in September. The data was below the market consensus of 51.6 and hit an eight-month low.

Eurozone HCOB Composite PMI improved slightly to 49.7 in October versus 49.7 expected and 49.6 in September. The data reached a two-month high.

EUR/USD Reaction to Eurozone PMI Data

EUR/USD it returns to 1.0800 with the mixed Eurozone PMI data, adding 0.18% on the day.

The Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency of the 19 countries of the European Union that belong to the eurozone. It is the second most traded currency in the world, behind the US dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of more than $2.2 trillion per day. EUR/USD is the most traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% of all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2 %).

The European Central Bank (ECB), headquartered in Frankfurt (Germany), is the reserve bank of the eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its main tool is the increase or decrease in interest rates. Relatively high interest rates (or the expectation of higher rates) tend to benefit the euro and vice versa. The Governing Council of the ECB makes decisions on monetary policy at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by the directors of the Eurozone’s national banks and six permanent members, including ECB President Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), are an important econometric indicator for the euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if it exceeds the ECB’s 2% target, it forces the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to their counterparts tend to benefit the euro, making the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

The published data measures the health of the economy and may have an impact on the euro. Indicators such as GDP, manufacturing and services PMIs, employment and consumer confidence surveys can influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment, but it may encourage the ECB to raise interest rates, which will directly strengthen the euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest eurozone economies (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they represent 75% of the eurozone economy.

Another important data that is published about the Euro is the trade balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports during a given period. If a country produces highly in-demand export products, its currency will gain value simply from the additional demand created by foreign buyers seeking to purchase those goods. Therefore, a positive net trade balance strengthens a currency and vice versa in the case of a negative balance.

Source: Fx Street

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