Eurozone demand plays growing role in high inflation, says ECB

Rising consumer demand in the euro zone is playing an increasing role in high inflation, a European Central Bank study showed on Friday, suggesting that, as some bank officials fear, price pressures are becoming more entrenched.

Inflation, which hit a record 10%, was initially driven by rising energy prices, against which monetary policy is largely powerless, but the role of this supply shock is now fading, the ECB said in a Bulletin article. Economic.

“In recent months, supply and demand factors have played broadly similar roles in (underlying) inflation,” the ECB said.

“More recently, the contributions of predominantly demand-driven components to services inflation have surpassed those of predominantly supply-driven components,” he added.

The general view is that inflation is close to its peak now, but the decline is expected to be slow initially, and a separate ECB survey indicated that consumers see rapid price growth in the coming years.

Inflation expectations for the next 12 months remained stable at 5%, while the median expectation for the three years ahead stood at 3%, the ECB’s Consumer Expectations Survey showed.

The bank is targeting inflation at 2%, but its projections show above-target price growth through at least 2024, and minutes from its September monetary policy meeting showed policymakers are now concerned about inflationary dynamics.

Source: CNN Brasil

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