European Central Bank: incoming data suggest modest growth in the first quarter of 2025 – Luis de Guindos

The vice president of the European Central Bank, Luis de Guindos, told European legislators in Brussels on Monday that the incoming data suggest that the eurozone economy grew at a modest rate in the first quarter of 2025, according to Reuters.

Commenting on the inflation perspectives, from Guindos said that it expects inflation to remain around the 2% objective of the ECB.

“The exporters of the euro zone now face new barriers, and tensions in financial markets and geopolitical uncertainty will probably weigh on business investment,” he added. “In this environment, consumers can become cautious about the future and contain spending.”

Market reaction

The EUR/USD remains in its daily range after these comments and operates marginally down around 1,1350.

BCE FAQS


The European Central Bank (ECB), based in Frankfurt (Germany), is the euro zone reserve bank. The ECB sets interest rates and manages the monetary policy of the region.
The main mandate of the ECB is to maintain prices stability, which means maintaining inflation around 2%. Its main tool to achieve this is to raise or lower interest rates. Relatively high interest rates often translate into a stronger euro, and vice versa.
The BCE Governing Council adopts monetary policy decisions in meetings that are held eight times a year. The decisions are adopted by the directors of the national banks of the euro zone and six permanent members, including the president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.


In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can launch a political tool called Quantitative Easing (quantitative relaxation). The QE is the process by which the ECB prints euros and uses them to buy assets (normally state or business bonds) to banks and other financial institutions. The result is usually a weaker euro ..
The QE is a last resort when it is unlikely that a simple decrease in interest rates achieves the price stability objective. The ECB used it during the great financial crisis of 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the Coronavirus pandemic.


The quantitative hardening (QT) is the reverse of the QE. It is carried out after the QE, when economic recovery is underway and inflation begins to increase. While in the QE the European Central Bank (ECB) buys state and business bonds from financial institutions to provide them liquidity, in the QT the ECB stops buying more bonds and stops reinvesting the main one that overcomes the bonds it already has. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the euro.

Source: Fx Street

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