EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Dips below 161.00 on BoJ hike speculation

  • EUR/JPY falls to 160.86, reacting to rumors that the Bank of Japan could end negative interest rates.
  • Technical analysis indicates a possible pullback if the pair closes below the 161.31 Kijun-Sen level.
  • The recovery above 161.00 could signal a rebound towards the 162.00 mark, with an eye on the March 7 high.

The EUR/JPY pair falls for the second consecutive day, losing 0.64% in early trading of the North American session. Rumors are growing that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could end negative rates, leading to a rise in the Japanese yen (JPY) against most G7 currencies. At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 160.86.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

Despite hitting a three-week low, the EUR/JPY pair is slightly tilted higher. However, if sellers achieve a daily close below the Kijun-Sen at 161.31, this could pave the way for a deeper pullback. Next support would be the psychological figures at 160.00, followed by the Senkou Span B at 159.39 and the top of the Ichimoku (Kumo) cloud around 159.00/15.

On the other hand, if buyers push the exchange rate above 161.00 and recover the Kijun-Sen, a rise towards 162.00 could occur. Once surpassed, the 162.00 level would have to be tested in the currency market. Once this area is overcome, we will have to wait for the March 7 high at 162.81 to be tested.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Latest price today 160.91
Daily change today -1.19
Today's daily variation -0.73
Today's daily opening 162.1
Trends
daily SMA20 162.32
50 daily SMA 160.49
SMA100 daily 160.02
SMA200 Journal 158.28
Levels
Previous daily high 162.85
Previous daily low 160.56
Previous weekly high 163.72
Previous weekly low 161.68
Previous Monthly High 163.72
Previous monthly low 158.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 161.43
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 161.97
Daily Pivot Point S1 160.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 159.54
Daily Pivot Point S3 158.53
Daily Pivot Point R1 163.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 164.13
Daily Pivot Point R3 165.41

Source: Fx Street

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