EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bearish sentiment gains ground

  • The RSI and MACD show increasing bearish pressure on both the hourly and daily charts.
  • Sellers seem to be in control, after breaking the 20-day SMA.
  • Buyers should keep a check on the 100-day and 200-day SMAs to avoid further bearish tilt.

The EUR/JPY pair is in the 163.00 area, showing a notable change in favor of sellers. Although the pair is firmly situated above the key long-term simple moving averages (SMAs), implying a possible lasting bullish bias, recent indicators suggest a change in the narrative for the near term.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a negative trend, having fallen from positive territory to 46. To illustrate this bearish trajectory, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also displays red bars, indicating an ongoing negative impulse.

EUR/JPY daily chart

On the hourly chart, the RSI shows a similar picture, with a reading of 39, reflecting a continued negative trend. The MACD is also showing red bars, carrying the negative momentum from the daily chart to the hourly chart. These indicators, taken together, could suggest continued bearish pressure for EUR/JPY throughout the session.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

From a broader perspective, EUR/JPY is giving mixed signals from a technical analysis point of view. It fell below the 20-day SMA on Friday, hinting at a possible bearish reversal in the short-term trend. This could trigger increased selling pressure on the pair, with the possibility of further losses. However, from a broader perspective, the crossover sits above the 100-day and 200-day SMAs, leaving the long-term bullish outlook intact.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Latest price today 163.09
Daily change today -1.33
Today's daily change -0.81
Today's daily opening 164.42
Trends
daily SMA20 163.9
50 daily SMA 162.59
SMA100 daily 160.61
SMA200 Journal 159.43
Levels
Previous daily high 164.7
Previous daily low 163.94
Previous weekly high 164.92
Previous weekly low 162.61
Previous Monthly High 165.36
Previous monthly low 160.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 164.23
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 164.41
Daily Pivot Point S1 164
Daily Pivot Point S2 163.59
Daily Pivot Point S3 163.24
Daily Pivot Point R1 164.76
Daily Pivot Point R2 165.11
Daily Pivot Point R3 165.52

Source: Fx Street

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