ECB: We should not rule out rates cuts below the neutral rate – Olli Rehn

The policy head of the European Central Bank (ECB), Olli Rehn, said on Monday that the underlying inflationary pressures in the euro zone are decreasing, according to Reuters.

Key aspects

“The effects of tariffs on the euro zone are bidirectional.”

“I agree with the markets in which tariffs will slow inflation, there are mainly downward risks for projections.”

“We should not rule out a priori rates cuts below the neutral rate.”

“Freedom of action is not only related to time.”

Market reaction

These comments do not seem to have a remarkable impact on the assessment of the euro. At the time of publication, the pair remained stable in the day in 1,1360.

BCE FAQS


The European Central Bank (ECB), based in Frankfurt (Germany), is the euro zone reserve bank. The ECB sets interest rates and manages the monetary policy of the region.
The main mandate of the ECB is to maintain prices stability, which means maintaining inflation around 2%. Its main tool to achieve this is to raise or lower interest rates. Relatively high interest rates often translate into a stronger euro, and vice versa.
The BCE Governing Council adopts monetary policy decisions in meetings that are held eight times a year. The decisions are adopted by the directors of the national banks of the euro zone and six permanent members, including the president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.


In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can launch a political tool called Quantitative Easing (quantitative relaxation). The QE is the process by which the ECB prints euros and uses them to buy assets (normally state or business bonds) to banks and other financial institutions. The result is usually a weaker euro ..
The QE is a last resort when it is unlikely that a simple decrease in interest rates achieves the price stability objective. The ECB used it during the great financial crisis of 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the Coronavirus pandemic.


The quantitative hardening (QT) is the reverse of the QE. It is carried out after the QE, when economic recovery is underway and inflation begins to increase. While in the QE the European Central Bank (ECB) buys state and business bonds from financial institutions to provide them liquidity, in the QT the ECB stops buying more bonds and stops reinvesting the main one that overcomes the bonds it already has. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the euro.

Source: Fx Street

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