AUD/USD Price Analysis: Nears 0.6500 ahead of FOMC decision

  • The AUD/USD pair recovers and approaches 0.6500 as the PBOC maintains a dovish policy on interest rates.
  • The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50% as US inflation has been falling steadily.
  • AUD/USD rebounds after discovering buying interest near horizontal support around 0.6364.

The pair AUD/USD recorded a recovery until approaching the psychological resistance of 0.6500 late in the European session. The Australian asset gained strength after the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) left its one- and five-year prime lending rate unchanged at 3.45% and 4.20%, respectively.

The PBOC was expected to maintain a dovish interest rate policy as the Chinese economy comes under pressure due to upside risks of deflation. Further expansion of the policy would support the economy to find a balance amid a gloomy economic outlook.

Meanwhile, the most important development in the currency space is the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The US central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. With US inflation continuing to fall while economic resilience remains, the Fed has the opportunity to skip the policy tightening regime for the second time in its current tightening cycle.

The AUD/USD pair rebounds after discovering buying interest near the horizontal support drawn from the August 17 low around 0.6364 on a two-hour scale. The Australian Dollar is stabilizing above the 20-day EMA, which is trading around 0.6340. Potential resistance is drawn from the August 15 high at 0.6522.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) jumps above 60.0, indicating that bullish momentum has been triggered.

A decisive break above the August 15 high around 0.6522 will push AUD towards the August 9 high at 0.6571. If the latter is broken, AUD will head towards the August 10 high at 0.6616.

On the other hand, if the Australian asset falls below the lows around 0.6360 on August 17, further declines would occur. This would expose the Australian Dollar to the support of the round level of 0.6300 followed by the November 3, 2022 low at 0.6272.

AUD/USD 2-hour chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Latest price today 0.6484
Today I change daily 0.0030
Today’s daily variation 0.46
Today’s daily opening 0.6454
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6432
daily SMA50 0.6547
SMA100 daily 0.6613
SMA200 daily 0.6701
Levels
Previous daily high 0.6474
Previous daily low 0.6428
Previous weekly high 0.6474
Previous weekly low 0.6378
Previous Monthly High 0.6724
Previous monthly low 0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 0.6456
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6445
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.643
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6406
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6384
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6476
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6498
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6522

Source: Fx Street

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