AUD/USD holds above critical support and rises to 0.6965

  • The Australian dollar recovers after the sharp drop suffered after the RBA meeting.
  • The US dollar gets mixed results and is supported by rising US yields.
  • AUD/USD finds support again around 0.6910.

The AUD/USD extended the recovery after the RBA fell and rose to 0.6965. It is around 0.6950/55, down 60 pips on the day, the worst performance since July 11th.

From the RBA to rising US yields.

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the key interest rate by 50 basis points. The guidance offered by the central bank was seen as “dovish” and pushed the Aussie lower. AUD/USD fell to 0.6910. After reaching a new daily high at 0.6909, it started to recover.

Since the beginning of the American session recovered more than fifty pips. At the same time, AUD/NZD, which bottomed at 1.1007, the lowest level in two weeks, recovered and, at the time of writing, is trading at 1.1055/60.

The move higher came as stock prices on Wall Street turned positive and the dollar lost momentum against commodity currencies, even amid rising US yields.

The AUD/USD chart shows that the pair is still moving sideways around 0.6970. The 0.6910 area has become critical support which, if broken, should clear the way for more losses, targeting the 20-day SMA at 0.6878 first.

Analysts at Rabobank see the possibility that a new bout of dollar strength will push AUD/USD lower in 1-3 months, but then see a recovery. “We expect AUD/USD to rally to 0.74 zone 12 months ahead.”

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 0.6924
Today’s Daily Change -0.0095
Today’s Daily Change % -1.35
Today’s Daily Opening 0.7019
Trends
20 Daily SMA 0.6871
50 Daily SMA 0.6969
100 Daily SMA 0.7121
200 Daily SMA 0.7173
levels
Previous Daily High 0.7048
Previous Daily Minimum 0.6968
Previous Maximum Weekly 0.7033
Previous Weekly Minimum 0.6879
Monthly Prior Maximum 0.7033
Previous Monthly Minimum 0.668
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7017
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6999
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6975
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6932
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6895
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7055
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7092
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7135

Source: Fx Street

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