The international analyst at CNN Fernanda Magnotta assessed the possible changes in United States foreign policy with Donald Trump’s return to the White House in 2025. According to her, it is likely that the US will adopt a more distant stance in relation to the war in Ukraine and demand greater financial responsibility from its allies Europeans in NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization).
According to the expert, Trump tends to prioritize domestic issues and see the international scene as a space to achieve national objectives. “He tends to be less engaged in international politics and, when he decides to seek this engagement, he has a characteristic that we usually say is a bit transactional, it’s even a bit accounting,” he explained.
Focus on return on American investment
The analyst highlighted that Trump’s focus on foreign policy generally focuses on the return on American investment. In the economic sphere, he is uncomfortable with countries that maintain a trade deficit with the United States, harming industry and the American domestic market.
In geopolitical terms, Magnotta highlighted that Trump has a preference for bilateral dialogues and a certain skepticism towards multilateral structures. “He does not support this idea of an order of institutions,” he stated.
Changes in the relationship with NATO and the war in Ukraine
A point of particular discomfort for Trump, according to the analyst, is the fact that the United States is the main financier of European security through NATO. “He has already done this once and he must do it again, including in this call that we described, he has already given this message, that is, Europeans have to take responsibility for their own security”, explained Magnotta.
As for the war in Ukraine, the expectation is that Trump will adopt a more distant stance compared to the Democrats. Magnotta predicts a decrease in the flow of resources to the conflict and possible pressure on Ukraine to accept peace talks that could involve territorial concessions.
“It is very likely that the Americans will enter these peace negotiations, trying to convince Zelensky and the Ukrainian team that there is no way to end this war without being over territory,” he concluded.
This content was originally published in Analysis: Trump is uncomfortable with US funding for security in Europe on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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